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Originally Posted by revitalizer The results of Lichtman's 2024 Presidential prediction are actually: 8-True, 3-False, and 2-Undecided I watched his live review on YT and saw that. He graded it 2 ways (whatever people prefer): 1. What he calls the 'soft' final prediction: true: 9 false: 4 this includes the 2 keys that had not been turned fully true or false, but were 'leaning.' 2. Segmented out completely: true: 8, false: 3 Not yet finalized: 2 Special Note: Either way, once a party meets their minimum number needed (8 minimum true for the incumbent party -or- 6 minimum false for the challenger party) then the winner can be declared regardless of any other remaining keys. For those who want to watch his full analysis of the final key determinations, which includes his explanation of the criteria used for each key, below is the video: He explains it all in the first 30 min. The 2nd half is the Q & A session. (责任编辑：) |